流行病学 情报发生 2026-10-31 · 发布于 2026-11-01

跨数据集生物学年龄计算器:在三大队列中验证死亡风险预测

来源:JMIR Form Res · PMID 42954807 · DOI 10.2196/95321 · 来源:IMA 知识库《文献层·文献监控卡片》2026-10-31 期 · 全文级(file_id dmlmcfQeUyzO,实际下载核验) · 全文已获取并通过归属校验

时间标签:数据日期 2026-10-31 · 生成时间 2026-11-01 05:30(Asia/Shanghai)| 检索窗口 PubMed edat 2026/10/28–2026/10/31 | 情报发生日期 2026-10-31

研究问题

Thus, the aim of this project is to develop a tool that can address the issues above by simplifying and automating BA model development and updates.

方法

When a binary split variable is defined, the full dataset is partitioned into 2 groups, and the full pipeline is run independently within each group, provided that at least a minimum number of participants are available.;This simple and robust imputation strategy avoids the introduction of bias toward extreme values while retaining all available participants for modeling.;Let xij denote the observed value of biomarker j for participant i in a group with N participants and m biomarkers.;To validate the robustness and accuracy of the proposed model, we used the NHANES dataset as curated by the BioAge R package, with no additional inclusion or exclusion criteria [].

核心结论

When evaluated against CA, the KDM approach demonstrated superior predictive precision, achieving a higher coefficient of determination (R2=0.597) and correlation coefficient (r=0.844) compared to the PCA method (R2=0.174; r=0.740).;Notably, biomarkers associated with metabolic dysregulation (HbA1c and glucose) and inflammation (CRP) exhibit positive coefficients, contributing to an acceleration of the BA estimate.;SBP and blood urea nitrogen emerged as highly weighted parameters, suggesting that vascular and renal stiffness are most associated with aging in this specific model. ‖ 结论:Some well-established biomarkers such as blood urea nitrogen and creatinine are reflected in our results [], while their relationships with aging might be nonlinear [].

局限

The accelerated age residuals, representing the divergence between BA and CA, remained largely within a ±20-year window for both the BioAge R package and the BACalc PCA-Dubina model, with the highest data density concentrated within this range.;In contrast, the KDM model displays a consistent, flat distribution across the age spectrum, indicating that it has reduced residual bias and likely serves as a more robust metric for biological aging independent of time.;A recent study on 2 large Chinese cohorts showed that KDM-based BA could predict mortality independently from CA and other potential confounders [].

对本项目的价值

★☆☆☆☆ 生物学年龄读数是选择替代终点的主要候选,直接影响终点设计与样本量估算。队列:NHANES、UK Biobank。

全文来源

PMC JATS 全文(正文 32,537 字符,已过标题/DOI 逐字归属校验)

原文题录

  • 英文标题:Dataset-Agnostic Biological Age Calculator and Predictions of Mortality in NHANES (1999-2010), UK Biobank (2006-2010), and Dalian Heart Failure (2015-2023) Cohorts: Development and Validation Study.
  • 期刊与标识:JMIR Form Res · PMID 42954807 · DOI 10.2196/95321

A 级证据分级:A 级(同行评议人体研究)

本文属人体研究证据,但需注意:观察性或小样本干预的结论不等于已证实临床获益;效应量与长期安全性仍需更大规模、更长随访的试验验证。

关于本文的文献来源:本站依据 IMA 知识库「五刊监控·深度文献卡片」撰写,依据已获取的期刊全文(方法、样本量与结论已回到原文核对);未能获取全文的同批条目另行标注「摘要级」,全程未做任何数值推算补全。